“One of Wall Street’s Top Analysts” – CNBC

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“Mark Kalinowski has his finger on the pulse of the restaurant business like no other Wall Street analyst… he has broken more news about McDonald’s than the reporters assigned to the beat… Kalinowski rolls up his sleeves, dives in and brings important news to the surface for clients”

-Huffington Post

 

“The Burger King with accurate predictions… The Big Mac of predicting the company’s [McDonald’s] sales.”

-The Wall Street Journal

 

Lead Analyst:

 
 

Mark Kalinowski
PRESIDENT & CEO

Kalinowski Equity Research LLC provides its clients with value-added, forward-looking information that helps them make informed decisions about restaurant-stock investing.

Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA)
Mark Kalinowski

PZZA (Post-Call): Mama Mia! Slices its Targets for 2026 Yet Again

Earlier today (Thursday, November 5th), Papa Johns announced that its third-quarter adjusted EPS amounted to $0.16. While this was below our $0.25 forecast, it did match sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.16. Q3 adjusted EBITDA was $38 million; consensus was at $38.2 million.

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Dine Brands Global (DIN)
Mark Kalinowski

DIN (Post-Call): Q4 Sales Trends Start Out Mixed, But Company Reiterates 2026 Targets

Earlier today (Wednesday, November 4th), Dine Brands reported third-quarter adjusted EPS of $0.82. This was well short of our $1.10 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) at $1.02. We attribute the earnings miss largely to lower-than-expected margins at company-owned restaurants. Over time, we expect most/all of these restaurants to be refranchised — although that takes time. But, in the short run, they can be a drag on a quarter’s results, as they were in Q3. Applebee’s company-owned restaurant count as of the end of Q3 2026 was 118, up from 59 as of quarter-end Q3 2025. Back to Q3 2026: adjusted EBITDA reached $49.0 million in Q3. Consensus was at $54.1 million.

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McDonald's Corp (MCD)
Mark Kalinowski

MCD (Post-Call): Encouraging October Traffic Trends, But Lapping The Grinch Looms

Earlier today (Wednesday, November 4th), McDonald’s reported third-quarter adjusted EPS of $3.57. This was above our $3.35 projection and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $3.37. We attribute at least part of the earnings beat to higher-than-expected Other Operating Income, which was helped by gains on sales of restaurants in the U.S., as well as higher gains on sales of excess properties.

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